2026 Topps Chrome x Jennie: The Complete Odds, Parallel, and Print Run Breakdown
2026 Topps Chrome x Jennie released October 20. It's Topps' first Chrome set built around Jennie of BLACKPINK, and it's a small one: 68 cards on Topps' checklist, every one of them Jennie. Topps posted the checklist and a first odds sheet on August 19 and replaced the odds sheet on September 23. This breakdown uses the September 23 sheet. The sheet is a single column of 58 lines with odds per pack and no print runs, but Topps' product page lists every run. The one-of-one lines on the sheet pin its odds at 150,000 packs, and from there we can check every numbered tier, estimate the cards that carry no number, and see how much of each ladder actually made it into packs.
The box
Topps sold Chrome x Jennie on its own site as an online exclusive box at $79.99, with a limit of 10 per cart, and the product page showed it sold out on October 21. A box is 10 Chrome cards. The product page doesn't say how many packs that is, but Topps' product listing data gives two packs of five, and the box itself notes that packs with a special insert may contain only three cards. The per-pack odds also only line up with Topps' per-box breakdown at two packs a box. Topps' page lists six base cards, two inserts and two base parallels a box.
The sheet's odds are per pack. Read exactly as printed, the base parallel lines add up to about 0.84 a pack, or about 1.7 a box, and the insert lines, counting the Ruby short prints, also come to about 1.7 a box. That doesn't contradict Topps' breakdown, because this sheet rounds its odds up to the next whole number (lines like the Concert Relics Purple at 1:2,028 only work out to a whole number of cards that way), so every printed line is the long end of its true rate. Most of the gap sits in the two 1:2 lines, the base Refractor and Chromium Close-Ups. Filling one base parallel and one insert in every pack would take a rate of about 1:1.5 on each, which rounds up to 1:2. The sheet alone can't pin those two lines down, so the Refractor and Close-Ups estimates further down come as a range.
The checklist
Not counting parallels, Topps' checklist runs 68 cards across 10 subsets.
The base set is 30 cards. Topps labels each one by song, all from Jennie's album Ruby: 22 "Mantra" cards, seven "Handlebars" and one "ExtraL".
The inserts and short prints:
- Chromium Close-Ups, 10 cards: nine "Mantra" and one "ExtraL".
- Monochrome Mementos, 10 cards: "ExtraL", "Handlebars" and eight "Mantra".
- Ruby Short Prints, two cards, Stage and Close-Up.
- Ruby Super Short Print, one card.
The hits:
- Concert Relics, one card with a piece of concert-worn clothing.
- Base Autograph Variations, 10 signed versions of base cards #1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, 16, 27 and 28, five "Handlebars" and five "Mantra".
- Ruby SP Autograph Variations, the two Ruby subjects, Stage and Close-Up, signed.
- Concert Autograph-Relics, one card with an autograph and a concert-worn relic.
- Ruby SSP Autograph Variation, one card.
The base ladder
Topps' product page gives every print run. Odds are per pack:
| Parallel | Print run | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Refractor | Unnumbered | 1:2 |
| Teal Refractor | /299 | 1:18 |
| Yellow Refractor | /275 | 1:19 |
| Pink Refractor | /250 | 1:21 |
| Pink Wave Refractor | /225 | 1:23 |
| Aqua Refractor | /199 | 1:26 |
| Blue Refractor | /150 | 1:35 |
| Blue Wave Refractor | /125 | 1:42 |
| Green Refractor | /99 | 1:53 |
| Purple Refractor | /75 | 1:69 |
| Gold Refractor | /50 | 1:104 |
| Orange Refractor | /25 | 1:206 |
| Black Refractor | /10 | 1:514 |
| Red Refractor | /5 | 1:1,021 |
| SuperFractor | 1/1 | 1:5,000 |
Counting every numbered tier, each of the 30 base cards has 14 numbered parallels and 1,788 numbered copies.
The inserts
Chromium Close-Ups and Monochrome Mementos share one ladder, with the same odds at every numbered tier. Odds per pack:
| Parallel | Print run | Chromium Close-Ups | Monochrome Mementos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base version | Unnumbered | 1:2 | 1:5 |
| Aqua | /199 | 1:78 | 1:78 |
| Blue | /150 | 1:104 | 1:104 |
| Blue Wave | /125 | 1:124 | 1:124 |
| Green | /99 | 1:156 | 1:156 |
| Purple | /75 | 1:206 | 1:206 |
| Gold | /50 | 1:309 | 1:309 |
| Orange | /25 | 1:615 | 1:615 |
| Black | /10 | 1:1,531 | 1:1,531 |
| Red | /5 | 1:3,062 | 1:3,062 |
| SuperFractor | 1/1 | 1:15,000 | 1:15,000 |
The insert odds run about three times the base odds at the same tier (Aqua 1:78 against 1:26, SuperFractor 1:15,000 against 1:5,000), which is what 10-card sets next to a 30-card base set should look like. Each insert card has 10 numbered parallels and 739 numbered copies.
The Ruby Short Prints fall 1:31 packs, about one every 15 boxes, and the Ruby Super Short Print 1:155 packs, about one every 77 boxes. Neither has parallels.
The hits
Odds per pack. The relic ladder is Foil, from Purple Foil to the FoilFractor, and the autograph ladders are Refractors. "Base" is the version with no parallel.
| Set | Cards | Base | Purple /75 | Gold /50 | Orange /25 | Black /10 | Red /5 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concert Relics | 1 | 1:356 | 1:2,028 | 1:3,062 | 1:6,000 | 1:15,000 | 1:30,000 | 1:150,000 |
| Base Autograph Variations | 10 | 1:838 | - | - | - | 1:1,516 | 1:3,000 | 1:15,000 |
| Ruby SP Autograph Variations | 2 | - | - | - | - | 1:7,500 | 1:15,000 | 1:75,000 |
| Concert Autograph-Relics | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1:15,000 | 1:30,000 | 1:150,000 |
| Ruby SSP Autograph Variation | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 1:30,000 | 1:150,000 |
Among the autographs, only the base version of the Base Autograph Variations comes without a serial number. Every Ruby autograph and every autograph relic is numbered. The autograph relic's 1/1 is a FoilFractor on the odds sheet and a Superfractor on Topps' product page, which also calls its Black and Red versions Refractors.
Topps' own preview images fit the ladder: a Ruby SSP autograph numbered 5/5 and a Concert Autograph-Relic numbered 1/1.
How many packs the sheet covers
The one-card sets are the key, since each of their lines counts copies directly. The Concert Relics FoilFractor is 1:150,000, one copy in 150,000 packs. The Red /5 is 1:30,000, and 150,000 divided by 5 is 30,000. The Black /10 is 1:15,000 and the Orange /25 is 1:6,000. The autograph relic and the Ruby SSP autograph land the same way.
The other sets agree. Multiply a line's odds by the number of cards and by the print run, and you get the pack count:
| Line | Cards | Print run | Odds | Cards x run x odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base SuperFractor | 30 | 1/1 | 1:5,000 | 150,000 |
| Chromium Close-Ups SuperFractor | 10 | 1/1 | 1:15,000 | 150,000 |
| Monochrome Mementos SuperFractor | 10 | 1/1 | 1:15,000 | 150,000 |
| Base Autograph Variations Red | 10 | /5 | 1:3,000 | 150,000 |
| Base Autograph Variations SuperFractor | 10 | 1/1 | 1:15,000 | 150,000 |
| Ruby SP Autograph Variations Black | 2 | /10 | 1:7,500 | 150,000 |
| Ruby SP Autograph Variations Red | 2 | /5 | 1:15,000 | 150,000 |
| Ruby SP Autograph Variations SuperFractor | 2 | 1/1 | 1:75,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Relics Orange Foil | 1 | /25 | 1:6,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Relics Black Foil | 1 | /10 | 1:15,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Relics Red Foil | 1 | /5 | 1:30,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Relics FoilFractor | 1 | 1/1 | 1:150,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Autograph-Relics Black | 1 | /10 | 1:15,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Autograph-Relics Red | 1 | /5 | 1:30,000 | 150,000 |
| Concert Autograph-Relics 1/1 | 1 | 1/1 | 1:150,000 | 150,000 |
| Ruby SSP Autograph Variation Red | 1 | /5 | 1:30,000 | 150,000 |
| Ruby SSP Autograph Variation SuperFractor | 1 | 1/1 | 1:150,000 | 150,000 |
Seventeen lines, no rounding, all on 150,000.
So the sheet covers 150,000 packs. At two packs a box, that's 75,000 boxes and about 750,000 cards (packs with a special insert can hold fewer). Topps doesn't give odds for the base cards themselves. At the six a box Topps lists, 75,000 boxes hold 450,000 base cards, about 15,000 of each of the 30.
Not every numbered card is in a pack
At 150,000 packs, the hit ladders come out to their print runs, or one card under. All 25 Concert Relics Orange Foils, 10 Black Foils, five Red Foils and the FoilFractor are in packs, and so is every Ruby SP autograph, every autograph relic, every Ruby SSP autograph and every Base Autograph Variations Red and SuperFractor. The Concert Relics Purple /75 comes to 74 in packs (1:2,028), the Gold /50 to 49 (1:3,062), and the Base Autograph Variations Black /10 to 99 of its 100 (1:1,516).
The Chrome ladders run a little lower. Here's what the odds put in packs against what the runs would make:
| Tier | Base, printed | Base, in packs | Each insert set, printed | Each insert set, in packs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teal /299 | 8,970 | 8,334 to 8,823 (93 to 98%) | - | - |
| Yellow /275 | 8,250 | 7,895 to 8,250 (96 to 100%) | - | - |
| Pink /250 | 7,500 | 7,143 to 7,499 (95 to 99.9%) | - | - |
| Pink Wave /225 | 6,750 | 6,522 to 6,750 (97 to 100%) | - | - |
| Aqua /199 | 5,970 | 5,770 to 5,970 (97 to 100%) | 1,990 | 1,924 to 1,948 (97 to 98%) |
| Blue /150 | 4,500 | 4,286 to 4,411 (95 to 98%) | 1,500 | 1,443 to 1,456 (96 to 97%) |
| Blue Wave /125 | 3,750 | 3,572 to 3,658 (95 to 98%) | 1,250 | 1,210 to 1,219 (97 to 98%) |
| Green /99 | 2,970 | 2,831 to 2,884 (95 to 97%) | 990 | 962 to 967 (97 to 98%) |
| Purple /75 | 2,250 | 2,174 to 2,205 (97 to 98%) | 750 | 729 to 731 (97%) |
| Gold /50 | 1,500 | 1,443 to 1,456 (96 to 97%) | 500 | 486 to 487 (97%) |
| Orange /25 | 750 | 729 to 731 (97%) | 250 | 244 (98%) |
| Black /10 | 300 | 292 (97%) | 100 | 98 (98%) |
| Red /5 | 150 | 147 (98%) | 50 | 49 (98%) |
| SuperFractor 1/1 | 30 | 30 (100%) | 10 | 10 (100%) |
Because the sheet rounds up, each line gives the fewest copies that can be in packs, and the short odds at the top of the base ladder leave the widest ranges. From the Blue /150 down, and at every insert tier, the odds put about 95 to 98 percent of each run in packs. The Teal comes in at 93 to 98 percent, and the Yellow, Pink, Pink Wave and Aqua odds fit anything from about 95 percent up to the full run. Every SuperFractor is in packs.
The sheet doesn't say where the rest go. Topps' checklist notes that actual contents and odds may vary. Either a few copies of each tier stay out of packs, or some cards skip a tier. Either way, the odds put 147 base Red Refractors in packs, not 150.
The unnumbered cards
Using 150,000 packs, here's about how many of each card are in packs:
| Card | Cards | Odds | Est. copies per card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Autograph Variations (base) | 10 | 1:838 | about 18 |
| Concert Relics (base) | 1 | 1:356 | 422 |
| Ruby Super Short Print | 1 | 1:155 | about 970 |
| Ruby Short Prints | 2 | 1:31 | about 2,400 to 2,500 |
| Refractor | 30 | 1:2 | about 2,500 to 3,300 |
| Monochrome Mementos | 10 | 1:5 | about 3,000 to 3,750 |
| Chromium Close-Ups | 10 | 1:2 | about 7,500 to 10,000 |
| Base | 30 | not on the sheet (six a box) | about 15,000 |
The unnumbered Base Autograph Variation is the scarce one. At about 18 copies of each card, it sits between an Orange /25 and a Black /10. Counting the Black, Red and SuperFractor, each of the 10 autographs comes to about 34 copies in packs.
Each Ruby Short Print is about two and a half times as common as the Ruby Super Short Print, about 2,400 to 2,500 copies against about 970.
The two 1:2 lines are the loosest figures here. Since the sheet rounds up, 1:2 only says there are at least 75,000 Refractors in packs (2,500 of each card) and at least 75,000 Close-Ups (7,500 of each). If every pack holds one base parallel and one insert (counting the Ruby short prints), as Topps' box breakdown suggests, the Refractors come to about 97,000 to 99,000 (about 3,200 to 3,300 of each card) and the Close-Ups to about 92,000 to 100,000 (about 9,200 to 10,000 of each). Monochrome Mementos at 1:5 come to at least 3,000 of each card and could be up to about 3,750.
In all, the odds put about 390 Jennie autographs in packs: about 338 Base Autograph Variations (about 179 unnumbered, 99 Black, 50 Red and 10 SuperFractors), 32 Ruby SP autographs, 16 autograph relics and six Ruby SSP autographs. That's one in about 383 packs, or about one every 190 boxes. The Concert Relics add about 585 more, and an autograph or relic of any kind falls about once every 77 boxes.
The rarest pulls
Three lines sit at 1:150,000 packs, one copy each in the whole run, or one in 75,000 boxes: the Concert Relics FoilFractor, the Concert Autograph-Relics 1/1 and the Ruby SSP Autograph Variation SuperFractor. Next are the two Ruby SP Autograph Variations SuperFractors at 1:75,000, one each of Stage and Close-Up. Then three /5 lines at 1:30,000, five copies each: the Concert Relics Red Foil, the Concert Autograph-Relics Red and the Ruby SSP Autograph Variation Red.
The Ruby SSP autograph exists in six copies in all, five Reds and the SuperFractor.
Across the product there are 65 one-of-ones: 30 base SuperFractors, 10 for each of the two inserts, 10 Base Autograph Variations SuperFractors, two Ruby SP autograph SuperFractors, and one each for the Concert Relics, the autograph relic and the Ruby SSP autograph. All 65 are in packs, about one every 2,300 packs, or about one every 1,150 boxes.
What to watch
Chrome x Jennie released October 20. The things we're watching: whether boxes open with two base parallels and two inserts, which would put the 1:2 Refractor and Close-Ups lines closer to 1:1.5; the first serial numbers on the Teal /299s; and which name the autograph relic 1/1 carries. We'll update this piece if any of that changes.
The full checklist and every parallel with its print run and odds are on the 2026 Topps Chrome x Jennie release page, and you can track what you pull in HobbyMonitor Collections.
This is not financial advice. These are cards. The data and analysis are here to inform. You make your own calls.
This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed before publishing. Always verify latest market data, stats, or news.
Published: October 2026