Prospect Spotlight: Konnor Griffin, SS/2B, Pittsburgh Pirates
The newest consensus No. 1 prospect owns the best power‑speed toolbox in the minors—but have his card prices already priced in perfection?
| Height / Weight | B/T | Drafted | Org. Rank | Rule‑5 EL | ETA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konnor Griffin | 6'4" / 225 lbs | R/R | 2024 1st (9th) | #1 (Pipeline, BA, FG) | Dec 2027 | Late ’26–early ’27 |
1. 2025 Performance Snapshot
| Level(s) | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | SB | BB% | K% | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A / A+ | 79 | 340 | .324 | .400 | .511 | 13 | 42 | 8 | 21 | 152 |
19‑year‑old ranks top‑10 in MiLB AVG and runs, pacing toward a rare 20‑40 season.
2. Under‑the‑Hood Trends
- Contact Rate: 75‑77 % (above‑avg for level)
- Chase Rate: 23‑24 % (mature approach)
- In‑Zone Whiff: 12 % (handles velo)
- 90th EV: 105‑108 mph; 112 max (double‑plus raw)
- GB/FB: 1.10— beginning to unlock loft for future HR spikes
3. Scouting Grades (Present / Future)
| Hit | Game Pwr | Raw Pwr | Run | Field | Arm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 / 65 | 40 / 55 | 55 / 60 | 60 / 60 | 50 / 55 | 55 |
4. Market Watch
| Card | Recent RAW | PSA 10 High |
|---|---|---|
| Base Auto | $180‑250 | $450 |
| Blue /150 | $650‑900 | $1,050 (PSA 9) |
| Gold /50 | $2.2‑2.7k | $3,150 (BGS 9.5) |
Liquidity is strong—45 sales >$150 since 7/1.
5. Risk & Outlook
Griffin must prove the hit tool against upper‑level pitching and maintain health over a 140‑game grind. A lofty ground‑ball share and the Pirates’ uneven track record with prep bats adds significant. Card prices mirror previous peak‑prospect premiums that corrected 20‑40 % within a quarter when promotion momentum stalled.
6. Recommendation
If you bought early, scale out of premium color and high‑grade slabs now to lock gains and reduce downside. Retain something if you believe in the talent; but consider re‑entering should prices retrace after the current hype cycle. Pure collectors and fans? Enjoy the ride—but know the risk you’re holding. Do not buy now, you will likely get a better opportunity between now and 2027.