Prospect Radar: Week 5
Another week of breakout bats, icy starts, and Top-100 prospect movement—both on the field and in the card market.
We stayed grounded in the data: Baseball Savant metrics (min. 15 PA), with an eye on the hobby impact across Bowman Chrome autos, PSA slabs, and early pricing trends.
🔥 Red-Hot Bats
| Player | Org./Lvl. | BA | SLG | wOBA | PA | K % | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hassell III | WSH AAA | .526 | .842 | .600 | 20 | 5.0 | 2 |
| P.J. Morlando | WSH A | .400 | .600 | .552 | 18 | 22.2 | 0 |
| Matt Shaw | CHC AA | .455 | .727 | .551 | 28 | 10.7 | 1 |
| Jordan Lawlar | ARI AAA | .435 | .739 | .514 | 24 | 12.5 | 1 |
🧾 Hobby Angle
- Hassell III: His 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome PSA 10 auto just sold for $40, rebounding after dipping from $75 highs. A .600 wOBA will get hobby buyers circling again.
- Morlando: No licensed autos yet (coming soon in Bowman 2025), but Leaf Metal pre-rookie autos moved from $8 → $15 after his consistent early-season contact skills. He's a sleeper for us especially after a nice, quick return from elbow surgery with immediate results.
- Shaw: 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome PSA 10 autos climbed to $165 last month, down 23% since—this may be the bounce-back week.
- Lawlar: Despite another big week, 2022 Bowman Chrome PSA 10 autos remain around $250. Hobby entry point or maxed out already?
🥶 Needing a Jump-Start
| Player | Org./Lvl. | BA | SLG | wOBA | PA | K % | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhonny Severino | MIL A | .067 | .067 | .056 | 16 | 43.8 | 0 |
| Austin Green | OAK A | .000 | .000 | .099 | 21 | 23.8 | 0 |
Card Watch: Neither player has a licensed 1st Bowman auto yet, coming this week however!
📈 Top-100 Call-Up Tracker
(New additions in bold)
| Prospect | Org | Rank | Debut | Week-2 Highlight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roki Sasaki | LAD | #1 | Opening Day | 3.04 ERA, 31 K / 26 IP |
| Jackson Jobe | DET | #5 | Opening Day | 2.79 ERA, 0.99 WHIP |
| Kristian Campbell | BOS | #7 | Opening Day | .296 AVG, 5 SB |
| Coby Mayo | BAL | #13 | May 3 | 109 mph double in Game 2 |
| Andy Pages | LAD | #44 | Apr 16 | 10-hit, 4-RBI series; 6 HR season total |
| Brandon Sproat | NYM | #46 | Apr 8 | 2 ER over first 8.1 IP |
| Nick Kurtz | OAK | #37 | Apr 23 | 3-for-12, 2 BB |
| Chase Dollander | COL | #24 | Apr 6 | 1.93 ERA, 20 K in 18⅔ IP |
| Cam Smith | HOU | #59 | Opening Day | 3 HR, .872 OPS |
| Edgar Quero | CWS | #62 | Apr 17 | 5 RBI in first 9 G |
| Chandler Simpson | TB | — | Apr 19 | 4-for-17, 2 SB (autos $30 → $75) |
| Luke Keaschall | MIN | #57 | Apr 18 | .368 AVG, 5 SB (fractured forearm) |
💰 Quick Hobby Notes
- Mayo: 2021 Bowman Draft autos jumped to $55 raw after the call-up. If he hits, this might look cheap fast.
- Pages: His 2020 Bowman Chrome PSA 10 auto saw a modest rise from $45 → $60 after his hot stretch. He is lighting it up!
- Sproat: 2023 Sapphire autos cooled to $35, but scouts still like his profile. Buy low if you believe in Mets pitching dev?
That’s a wrap on Week 5.
🔥 The data tells us who’s hot.
📈 The hobby tells us who’s moving markets.
See you next week with more insights from both.