2026 Bowman University Best Football: The Complete Odds, Parallel, and Print Run Breakdown

2026 Bowman University Best Football releases October 30, and Topps posted the odds sheet on October 29. The checklist has been up since October 5. The sheet runs 130 lines in a single hobby column, with odds per pack and no print runs. Eighteen SuperFractor lines put the run at about 150,000 packs: the odds are worked out on 149,808, which is 37,452 boxes or 3,121 cases, about 1.5 million cards. From there the sheet backs up the print runs in our data on nearly every numbered ladder and puts a count on every card that carries no print run. It also turns up two things that don't fill: four autograph sets whose SuperFractor odds cover one or two fewer cards than Topps' checklist has signers, and a few two- and three-card sets where the Red Refractor odds put only 70 to 80 percent of the run in packs.

The box

The box lists 10 cards per pack and 4 packs per box, 40 cards, with four autograph cards per box (which may include redemption cards), and it's marked hobby only. Cases hold 12 boxes. Topps' product page doesn't list a configuration.

Add up the sheet's lines and here's what an average box holds:

The autograph lines come to about 4.13 a box, in line with the four on the box. The short autograph lines (Best of 2026 Autographs at 1:8 to 1:11, Prospect Relic Autographs at 1:16) are coarse enough that the sheet's rounding alone could put the total anywhere from 4.00 to 4.27. About two autographs in three come from a numbered or one-of-one line (2.81 a box).

Best of 2026 Autographs makes up most of them, 2.39 a box. By set, a Prospect Relic Autograph turns up about once every 1.3 boxes, a Behind the Seams Dual Relic Autograph every 4.0 boxes, a Bowman Showpieces Autograph every 4.7, a Workhorse Autograph every 5.0, a Super Saturday Signature every 5.3 and a Big Kahuna Autograph every 13.6. A Best of Mascots Autograph is about one in 47 boxes and a Best of High School Tribute Autograph one in 513. The multi-signer cards run much longer: a Dual Autograph about one in 41 boxes, a Quad Autograph one in 173 and a Hexagon Autograph one in 892.

Best of the Best and Campus Crests work out to case hits. At 1:98 packs each, plus their SuperFractors, the two together come to 1.00 a case of 48 packs.

The checklist

Topps' checklist runs 676 cards in 22 sections. It lists 756 names, since the Dual, Quad and Hexagon autographs carry two, four and six signers.

The base set is 100 college players, from Lotzeir Brooks (#1, Alabama) to Bryce Underwood (#100, Michigan), with Cam Coleman, Bear Bachmeier, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele, LaNorris Sellers, Darian Mensah, Kamario Taylor, CJ Carr, Josh Hoover, Bo Jackson, Kewan Lacy and Drew Mestemaker.

The inserts:

• Bowman Showpieces and Workhorse, 35 cards each, both opening with CJ Carr.
• Tone Setters, 20 cards, from Cam Coleman to Keyjuan Brown.
• Send the House, 10, from John Henry Daley to Tyrique Tucker.
• Best of the Best (from CJ Carr to Nick Marsh) and Campus Crests (from CJ Carr to Bo Jackson), 34 each.
• Best of Mascots, 20 mascots, from Sparky (Arizona State) to Butch T. Cougar (WSU), with Brutus Buckeye, Otto The Orange, the Stanford Tree and Big Jay and Baby Jay.
• Best of Stadiums, nine: Kyle Field, Jordan-Hare Stadium, Tiger Stadium, Notre Dame Stadium, Beaver Stadium, Neyland Stadium, Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Ben Hill Griffin Stadium and Michigan Stadium.
• Best of High School Tribute, two: Josh Allen at Firebaugh High School and Peyton Manning at Isidore Newman School.

There are 377 autograph cards: 20 signed by mascots, and the rest by 174 players:

• Best of 2026 Autographs, 94 signers: 92 of the 100 base-set players plus Arch Manning and Dante Moore, neither of whom has a base card.
• Prospect Relic Autographs, 73, each with a game-used memorabilia piece.
• Bowman Showpieces Autographs, 34 (every Showpieces player but Cederian Morgan), Workhorse Autographs, 32, and Super Saturday Signatures, 30.
• Big Kahuna Autographs, 29, among them Arch Manning, CJ Carr, Bear Bachmeier and Jared Curtis.
• Behind the Seams Dual Relic Autographs, 23.
• Dual Autographs, 23 cards of two teammates each, among them Bear and Tiger Bachmeier at BYU.
• Quad Autographs, 14 cards of four: 11 schools plus a Big Ten, a Big 12 and an SEC card.
• Hexagon Autographs, three cards of six signers, coded QB, RB and DL. The QB card has Sagapolutele, Bachmeier, Demond Williams Jr., Kamario Taylor, Kenny Minchey and CJ Carr.
• Best of Mascots Autographs, the same 20 mascots, and Best of High School Tribute Autographs, Allen and Manning.

CJ Carr and Sagapolutele are each in 14 of the 22 sections, and Bachmeier is in 13.

The base ladder

Odds per pack. Topps' sheet prints no serial numbers, so the print runs below are the ones in our data, and the odds check them.

Counting every color, there are 1,254 numbered copies of each base card, from the Yellow Lazer /250 down to the SuperFractor.

Multiply a tier's print run by its odds and by the 100 cards, and the Gold, the Gold Lava, the Orange and the Black all come to 155,000 packs: 50 x 31 x 100, 25 x 62 x 100 and 10 x 155 x 100. The Teal (15 x 104 x 100) and the Red (5 x 312 x 100) come to 156,000. The longer runs, from the Yellow Lazer at 1:6 to the Purple Lava at 1:21, are too short to read that closely, but every one lands within its rounding of the same figure. A wrong run would stick out: a /20 Teal would point to 208,000 packs. So the runs in our data hold.

The SuperFractor doesn't land there. 100 one-of-ones at 1:1,498 is 149,800 packs, about 3 percent under the numbered tiers. More on that below.

The inserts

The four main inserts share one ladder. Odds per pack:

Bowman Showpieces and Workhorse match line for line. Per card, all four are seeded like the base ladder: a Gold's odds times the cards in its set come to 3,100 to 3,120 everywhere (89 x 35, 155 x 20, 312 x 10, and 31 x 100 on the base Gold). Every Shimmer line, the base Shimmer Refractor included, comes to about 375 to 390 copies of each card.

The case hits and the short sets, odds per pack:

Best of the Best and Campus Crests have only a SuperFractor beyond the version with no color, which comes to about 45 copies of each card. Best of Mascots and Best of Stadiums come to about 48 of each, and Best of High School Tribute to 23 of each. The Brutus Buckeye below is a Best of Mascots Red Refractor numbered 1/5, which fits the Red in our data.

The autographs

Best of 2026 Autographs, 94 signers, odds per pack. Topps calls the version with no color the Refractor:

From the Blue to the Red, these land on the same count as the base ladder: 150 x 11 x 94, 75 x 22 x 94, 50 x 33 x 94 and 25 x 66 x 94 are all 155,100, and the Teal, Black and Red come to 156,040 to 156,510 (the Green, at 1:17, is too short to read closely but lands within its rounding). The Kamario Taylor at the top of this piece is a Black Refractor numbered 10/10, which fits the /10. Only about one Best of 2026 Autograph in five is the Refractor with no print run (one every two boxes, against 1.89 a box from the numbered and one-of-one lines).

The other full autograph ladders, odds per pack. On the two relic sets the Green and Orange are Mini-Diamond Refractors and the Purple is a Purple Lava; on the other three Topps calls the version with no color a Refractor:

The short ladders, odds per pack. The versions with no color are Refractors:

The Dual and Quad sets fit only when they're counted by cards, not names. The Dual Black comes to 153,180 packs on 23 cards (10 x 666 x 23) and the Quad Red to 158,900 on 14 (5 x 2,270 x 14). Counted by the 46 and 56 names on the checklist, they'd point to two and four times that. The Best of High School Tribute autograph carries exactly the same Black, Red and SuperFractor odds as the insert.

How many packs the sheet covers

The SuperFractor lines are the key. A one-of-one line counts copies directly, so its odds times the cards in its set is the pack count, if every one of them is in a pack:

The rest agree: Tone Setters and both Best of Mascots sets (20 at 1:7,490, 149,800) and Behind the Seams and Dual Autographs (23 at 1:6,513, 149,799). That's 18 lines. Rounded to the nearest pack, together they leave room for only 149,807 or 149,808 packs, and 149,808 is the only one of the two that makes whole boxes. So the sheet is figured on 149,808 packs: 37,452 boxes of four, 3,121 cases of 12, and at 10 cards a pack about 1.5 million cards. That's the count Topps worked the odds out on, what its note on the sheet calls the intended configuration. The run that actually gets packed out can differ a little, so read it as about 150,000 packs.

This sheet rounds to the nearest pack, not up or down. The base SuperFractor is one every 1,498.08 packs, printed 1:1,498, where rounding up would read 1:1,499. The Send the House SuperFractor is one every 14,980.8, printed 1:14,981, where rounding down would read 1:14,980. No pack count fits all 18 lines either way but the nearest.

Not every numbered card is in a pack

If every SuperFractor on those 18 lines is in a pack, here's the share of each numbered tier the odds put in packs:

On the base ladder that's about 4,830 of the 5,000 Golds (and the same of the Gold Lavas), about 2,420 of the 2,500 Oranges, about 967 of the 1,000 Blacks and about 480 of the 500 Reds. There can't be more than 100 SuperFractors on a 100-card ladder, so about 97 percent is the most the odds allow on the numbered tiers. Either a few copies of each tier stay out of packs, or a few cards in each hundred skip a tier. Topps' note on the sheet says a player on the checklist isn't guaranteed to appear in every parallel. The base and insert ladders run about 96 percent, the other autograph ladders mostly 97 to 99, and Best of 2026 Autographs runs with the base.

The smaller sets come out to whole numbers of cards:

Each comes up three to seven cards short of its printed total, about the same handful whatever the set's size. On the two- and three-card sets that's a big share: the Best of High School Tribute Red puts 7 of 10 in packs, and the Hexagon Red 12 of 15, four for each of the three cards if they're split evenly. A Hexagon Red at /4 would fill completely, so that line is the one we'd most like to see a serial number on. We're keeping the /5 until one turns up.

Two Best of 2026 Autographs tiers read a little low. The Aqua Lava /199 at 1:9 puts about 16,600 in packs, 89 percent of 94 signers at /199, and the Pink Lava /175 at 1:10 about 15,000, 91 percent, against 95 to 97 percent on the Blue through the Red. Those are short lines, though. Rounded as far as they'll go, the Aqua tops out at 94 percent and the Pink at 96, right where the Teal, Black and Red sit, so the Pink may be nothing but rounding and the Aqua is only a little further off. If the gap is real, either a few signers skip those colors or more of each run stays out of packs.

Four autograph SuperFractor lines don't cover every signer. At 149,808 packs each line still comes out to a whole number of cards, just fewer than the signers on Topps' checklist:

The Best of 2026 Autographs printing plates also come to 92 of each color. Where these sets have numbered tiers, those fill like the others, so the shortfall is in the one-of-ones: one or two signers with no SuperFractor, one or two held out of packs, or an odds line worked out on the wrong count. The Workhorse Autographs line is also, to the pack, the Super Saturday Signatures SuperFractor line, and Super Saturday Signatures has exactly 30 signers, so it may have been carried over.

The cards with no print run

The same pack count estimates the cards with no print run: packs divided by odds, divided by the cards in the set.

The scarcest cards with no print run are the Hexagon Autographs Refractors, about 9 of each of the three six-signer cards, about as scarce as a Black /10. The Quad Autographs Refractor, about 10 of each, is close behind. The autograph with the most copies is the Best of 2026 Autographs Refractor, about 18,700 in all, one every eight packs. The no-color versions of Behind the Seams, Workhorse Autographs, Bowman Showpieces Autographs and Super Saturday Signatures all land at about 145 to 147 of each signer.

The 1:1 to 1:5 lines are short enough that the sheet's rounding could move their counts a lot: a printed 1:1 can mean anything from two cards in three packs to two a pack. The figures above take them at face value.

The base count is the roughest. The base set has no line of its own, so its count is what's left of each 10-card pack after every other line on the sheet: about 6.14 cards a pack (2.06 base parallels with the Refractor, 3.05 inserts and 1.03 autographs). That leaves about 3.86 base cards a pack, roughly 580,000 in all, or about 5,800 copies of each of the 100. It leans on the three 1:1 lines (the Refractor, Bowman Showpieces and Workhorse) being exactly one a pack each, so read it as rough.

The rarest pulls

The longest lines on the sheet are the two Best of High School Tribute SuperFractors, the insert and the autograph, at 1:74,904 packs each, about one in 18,700 boxes. Each has two cards, Josh Allen and Peyton Manning, and the odds put all four in packs.

Next are the Hexagon Autographs SuperFractor at 1:49,936 (three cards, about one in 12,500 boxes) and the two Best of High School Tribute Red Refractors at 1:21,401 (7 of each in packs, about one in 5,350 boxes). After those come the Best of Stadiums SuperFractor at 1:16,645, the Send the House SuperFractor at 1:14,981, the Hexagon Red at 1:12,484 (one in 3,121 boxes, as many boxes as there are cases in the run) and the Quad Autographs SuperFractor at 1:10,701.

Counting every SuperFractor line together, the odds put 670 in packs, six fewer than the 676 cards on the checklist: about one every 224 packs, or one every 56 boxes. The 368 Best of 2026 Autographs printing plates add one more one-of-one about every 102 boxes. On its own line, a base SuperFractor is about one in 375 boxes.

What to watch

The things we're watching: a serial number on a Hexagon Autographs Red, and on the Best of High School Tribute Black and Red; the first Best of 2026 Autographs Aqua Lava and Pink Lava serials; whether the Best of 2026, Bowman Showpieces, Workhorse and Big Kahuna autograph SuperFractors surface for every signer; and how many cards a pack really holds of the three 1:1 lines. We'll update this piece if any of that changes.

The full checklist and every parallel with its print run and odds are on the 2026 Bowman University Best Football release page, and you can track what you pull in HobbyMonitor Collections.

---

This is not financial advice. These are cards. The data and analysis are here to inform. You make your own calls.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed before publishing. Always verify latest market data, stats, or news.

Published: October 2026