2026 Topps Vault Marvel: The Complete Odds, Parallel, and Print Run Breakdown

2026 Topps Vault Marvel released September 23 at $699.99 a box on Topps' site. A box holds two cards and a box topper, and Topps' odds sheet gives each its own column: Pack 1, Pack 2 and Box Topper. Like most sheets it lists odds and no print runs. This one is easier to read than most, though. Almost every set in the product comes as a Black /10, a Red /5 and a Gold 1/1, and the one-of-one lines pin down the size of the whole run: 7,945 boxes. From there we can check every ladder, estimate the cards with no serial number, and find the few lines that don't add up.

The checklist

There is no base set. Not counting sketch cards, Topps' checklist runs 337 cards across 20 sets: one insert (the box topper), five sets under Topps' relic heading and 14 autograph sets.

Pack 1 holds one card from these:

• Marvel Diamonds, 91 cards, from Yelena Belova at MD-01 to Wilson Fisk at MD-91. Topps' product page promises cards embedded with real diamonds, and its preview cards show small stones set into the card face.
• Vault Relics, 17 cards of production-used material: an aircraft cockpit (Captain America, Falcon), the presidential podium (President Thaddeus Ross), a Plymouth Barracuda (Ironheart, Shuri), candy canes (Mantis, Drax, Star-Lord) and a Stark Tower penthouse sofa, which covers the last nine cards from Ant-Man to Pepper Potts.
• True Greatness, 32 cards, from Iron Man to Drax.
• From the Set, 10 cards with set pieces from Agatha All Along, Loki and Ironheart: the spirit board set, Billy Maximoff's denim jacket, Loki's palace throne, the Plymouth Barracuda and The Secrets of the Tarot book.
• Vault Armory, six weapon relics: Captain America's shield, Star-Lord's blaster, Thor's Stormbreaker, Gamora's sword, Valkyrie's sword and Ronin's sword (Hawkeye). The numbers run VA-01, 02, 04, 07, 08 and 10, so the numbering skips.
• Golden Sketches by nine artists: Arthur Adams, Ed McGuinness, Frank Miller, Joe Rubinstein, Mike McKone, Paul Pelletier, Ron Lim, Stanley "Artgerm" Lau and Whilce Portacio. Premiere Sketches come from a much longer list of artists. Topps' product page uses the Silver Surfer sketch at the top of this article as its Golden Sketches example.

Pack 2 holds one autograph:

• Ink 616, 28 signers, and Marvel Diamonds Autographs, 27. Florence Pugh signs both, and Topps bills hers as first-time autographs.
• Immortal Autographs, 28 cards. Eleven signers have two: Anthony Hopkins, Brie Larson, Cate Blanchett, Chris Pratt, Hugh Jackman, Jeremy Renner, Josh Brolin, Ryan Reynolds, Samuel L. Jackson, Tom Hiddleston, and Elizabeth Olsen as both Scarlet Witch and Wanda Maximoff.
• Laced in Gold, 12 signers.
• The multi-signed cards. Duos Autographs has 15 pairs, including Pedro Pascal and Vanessa Kirby as Mister Fantastic and Invisible Woman. Triple Autographs has seven trios, among them Chris Evans, Sebastian Stan and Anthony Mackie, and Tom Hiddleston, Owen Wilson and Sophia Di Martino. Asgard Literature is two four-signer cards: Cate Blanchett, Taika Waititi, Tessa Thompson and Anthony Hopkins on one, Christopher Eccleston, Stellan Skarsgård, Kat Dennings and Natalie Portman on the other.
• The autograph relics. Autograph Relics (10, Harrison Ford with the presidential podium among them), From the Set Autographs (15), True Greatness Autographs (6), Vault Armory Autographs (4: Chris Evans, Chris Pratt, Jeremy Renner and Tessa Thompson), Duos Autograph Relics (3), Triples Autograph Relics (1, signed by Chris Evans, Harrison Ford and Anthony Mackie) and The Vault, three autograph relic books: Chris Evans with the stunt Captain America shield, and Ebon Moss-Bachrach and Vanessa Kirby with mission patches.

Tom Hiddleston signs 10 different cards, the most of anyone. Chris Evans, Anthony Mackie and Elizabeth Olsen sign nine each.

The box topper is a Vault Originals card, 20 characters drawn by Ariel Diaz, from Black Cat to Wolverine. Topps says some boxes get an Oversized Premiere Sketch in its place.

The box

Topps calls it a two-card format: Pack 1, Pack 2 and the topper. Topps sold it through draws on its own site. The pre-order draw was $679.99 a box and closed August 11. The regular box draw, which closed on release day, was $699.99, and a sealed-case draw ran at $3,499.99. Both box draws had a limit of four per customer.

The Pack 1 lines on the sheet add up to 0.95 cards per pack and the Pack 2 lines to 0.97, so each pack is one card. The gap is rounding: Topps rounds every figure on this sheet up to the next whole number, so each line is a touch more common than printed, the 1:2 and 1:7 lines most of all. With one of each pack per box, every odds figure on this sheet is also odds per box. A Marvel Diamonds Gold 1/1 at 1:92 means about one in every 92 boxes.

What a box holds, by set, adding up every version on the sheet:

A multi-signed card of any kind comes about once every seven and a half boxes, and a sketch card of any kind, topper included, about once every seven.

The parallel ladder

Topps' sheet doesn't print serial numbers, but the preview cards on Topps' product page show 10/10 on a Black, 5/5 on a Red and 1/1 on a Gold, and the odds agree. In almost every set the Red falls about half as often as the Black and the Gold about a tenth as often, which is what /10, /5 and 1/1 should do.

Pack 1, odds per pack (and per box):

Golden Sketches fall 1:35 and Premiere Sketches 1:12. True Greatness, From the Set and Vault Armory have no base line on the sheet. They start at the Black /10.

Pack 2, the autographs:

Immortal Autographs has its own ladder: base 1:7, Rose Gold 1:15, Black /10 1:30, Red /5 1:60 and SuperFractor 1/1 1:306.

The box topper, odds per box:

How many boxes the sheet covers

The one-of-one lines settle it, once you know how Topps rounds. On this sheet Topps rounds odds up to the next whole number: seven Triple Autographs Golds at 1:1,135 and 12 Laced in Gold Golds at 1:663 only fit together that way. So a line's odds times its copies can't be less than the number of packs, and one less than the odds, times the copies, has to be less.

The Triples Autograph Relics Gold is a single card at 1:7,945, so there are at most 7,945 Pack 2s. Five other Gold lines put the count above 7,944:

• Laced in Gold: 12 cards at 1:663 (12 x 662 is 7,944).
• True Greatness Autographs: 6 at 1:1,325 (6 x 1,324 is 7,944).
• Vault Armory Autographs: 4 at 1:1,987 (4 x 1,986 is 7,944).
• Duos Autograph Relics: 3 at 1:2,649 (3 x 2,648 is 7,944).
• Asgard Literature: 2 at 1:3,973 (2 x 3,972 is 7,944).

That leaves 7,945 Pack 2s, one per box. Every other small-set Gold fits it: Autograph Relics (10 at 1:795), Duos Autographs and From the Set Autographs (15 at 1:530) and Triple Autographs (7 at 1:1,135). So does the Triples Autograph Relics Red (five at 1:1,589 is 7,945). Pack 1 agrees on its own: ten From the Set Golds at 1:795 and six Vault Armory Golds at 1:1,325 put it between 7,945 and 7,950.

That is 15,890 cards from packs plus 7,945 box toppers, and one autograph per box.

Not every numbered card is in a pack

At 7,945 boxes, every Gold on every set of 15 cards or fewer is in packs. So are all 15 Duos Autograph Relics Reds, all 20 Vault Armory Autographs Reds, all five Triples Autograph Relics Reds and every Asgard Literature Red and Black. Almost every other numbered tier comes up a little short, small sets included. Because Topps rounds its odds up, each figure is the smallest count the odds allow, with a range where the line leaves room.

If every copy of those tiers were in packs, the lines would need more boxes than the one-of-one lines allow, and not one consistent number: the Golds alone would need anywhere from about 8,200 boxes (True Greatness) to about 8,590 (Marvel Diamonds Autographs). Ten From the Set Golds at 1:795 cap Pack 1 at 7,950, so the gap is real on the sheet's own numbers.

The sheet doesn't say where the rest go. Topps' note at the top says a subject being in a set doesn't guarantee it appears in every parallel, so some characters may skip a tier, or a few copies of each tier stay out of packs. On the sheet's odds, 87 of the 91 Marvel Diamonds Golds are in boxes.

The base versions and other unnumbered cards

The same box count estimates the cards with no serial number on the sheet: boxes divided by odds, divided by the number of cards in the set.

Seven of those sets come out at about 23 to 26 copies per card, about as scarce as a /25. Neither the sheet nor Topps' checklist says whether those base cards carry a serial number. Topps rounds its odds up, so every figure here is the low end. The 1:7 and 1:2 lines leave the most room, which is why Ink 616, Immortal and Marvel Diamonds show a range. The Vault Originals figure assumes every box has a topper and that it is the base card whenever it isn't a parallel or an oversized sketch.

The Immortal Rose Gold row is the 530 to 567 cards its 1:15 line puts in packs, spread over the 28 signers (more on that below). True Greatness, From the Set and Vault Armory in Pack 1, and Vault Armory Autographs and Triples Autograph Relics in Pack 2, have no base line on the sheet, so there is no base version to estimate.

The sketch cards are one of a kind: at least 227 Golden Sketches across the nine artists, at least 663 Premiere Sketches and at least 173 Oversized Premiere Sketches, at least 1,063 in all.

Where the numbers get uneven

• Vault Armory Black. The Black /10 is listed at 1:419, harder to pull than the Red /5 at 1:332. At 7,945 boxes that is 19 Blacks in packs against 60 printed, and 24 of 30 Reds. 1:419 is also the exact figure on the Vault Originals Gold line, so it could be a misprint.
• Vault Armory Autographs Black. 1:274 works out to 29 cards, about three of the four signers' worth. The Red and Gold cover all four.
• Duos Autograph Relics. The base (1:163) and Black (1:398) lines are the same figures as Asgard Literature's, which has two cards. For Duos Autograph Relics the Black works out to 20 cards, two cards' worth against three on Topps' checklist, while the Red (15) and Gold (3) cover all three.
• Autograph Relics Black. 1:91 is 88 of the 100 printed. The Red (about 49 of 50) and the Gold (all 10) are close to complete.
• Immortal Autographs Rose Gold. The sheet gives no run for it, and the 1:15 works out to about 530 to 567 cards in packs. A /20 on all 28 signers (560 cards) fits that. A /25 on all 28 would be 700 cards, which would print closer to 1:12.

The rarest pulls

The toughest line on the sheet is the Triples Autograph Relics Gold at 1:7,945, one card in the whole run, signed by Chris Evans, Harrison Ford and Anthony Mackie. That card has no base or Black version on the sheet, so the five Reds at 1:1,589 and the one Gold make six copies in all. Harrison Ford signs three cards in the product, and this is the scarcest.

Next come the two Asgard Literature Golds at 1:3,973, one for each four-signer card. The Duos Autograph Relics Gold and The Vault books share 1:2,649, three cards each. The Vault Armory Autographs Gold is 1:1,987, four cards, and the True Greatness Autographs Gold and Vault Armory Gold are both 1:1,325, six each.

In Pack 1, the Vault Armory Gold is the rarest line, then the From the Set Gold at 1:795 (10 cards) and the Vault Relics Gold at 1:497 (about 16 in packs). The Vault Originals Gold topper falls about once in every 419 boxes.

What to watch

Vault Marvel released September 23. The things we're watching: the first Immortal Rose Gold cards to see the printed run, the first Vault Armory Blacks to see whether 1:419 holds up, the Duos Autograph Relics Blacks, whether the base versions carry serial numbers, and whether Topps revises the sheet. We'll update this piece if any of that changes.

The full checklist and every parallel with its print run and odds are on the 2026 Topps Vault Marvel release page, and you can track what you pull in HobbyMonitor Collections.

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This is not financial advice. These are cards. The data and analysis are here to inform. You make your own calls.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI and reviewed before publishing. Always verify latest market data, stats, or news.

Published: September 2026